info Overview
The Modelling & Simulation theme applies mathematical and statistical modelling to complex African systems — from agricultural production forecasting to epidemiological compartmental models. Researchers develop bespoke simulation frameworks that account for the unique ecological, climatic, and socioeconomic factors shaping outcomes across the continent.
flag Objectives
- Develop crop-yield prediction models for East African smallholders
- Build compartmental epidemiological models for endemic diseases
- Simulate road traffic safety under African infrastructure conditions
- Create agent-based models for urban food systems
settings Methods & Approaches
Ordinary and partial differential equations for biological systems
Poisson and negative-binomial models for count data
Agent-based simulation via NetLogo and Mesa
Bayesian inference for parameter uncertainty quantification
folder_open Related Projects
Poisson Modelling of Road Traffic Accidents
Completed
Spatial Poisson regression for accident hotspot identification on the Northern Corridor.
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Crop Yield Forecasting for East Africa
Active
ML ensemble models integrating satellite NDVI, rainfall, and soil data for maize yield prediction.
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